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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University1.85+5.97vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont1.05+8.44vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.15+7.17vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+3.78vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.97+1.84vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.67+1.63vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.95+0.15vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.25-2.14vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.95+1.84vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-2.05vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.13-0.59vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy0.15+1.62vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33-0.40vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-4.66vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.46-1.70vs Predicted
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16Tulane University2.05-9.62vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-5.90vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-5.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.97Harvard University1.858.8%1st Place
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10.44University of Vermont1.053.6%1st Place
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10.17Tufts University1.154.3%1st Place
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7.78Brown University2.227.3%1st Place
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6.84Boston College1.978.8%1st Place
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7.63Tufts University1.677.1%1st Place
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7.15Dartmouth College1.958.0%1st Place
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5.86Yale University2.2512.2%1st Place
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10.84Boston University0.953.0%1st Place
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7.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.456.8%1st Place
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10.41Bowdoin College1.133.4%1st Place
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13.62Maine Maritime Academy0.151.8%1st Place
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12.6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.6%1st Place
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9.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.274.7%1st Place
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13.3Northeastern University0.461.8%1st Place
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6.38Tulane University2.0510.2%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.092.9%1st Place
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12.61U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.052.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harrison Strom | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.8% |
| Mason Stang | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| John Eastman | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 14.2% | 24.9% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 12.7% | 15.6% |
| James Kopack | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 14.1% | 19.7% |
| John Wood | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Derry | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.3% |
| Lewis Bragg | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 14.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.