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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University1.36+1.46vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University-0.17+2.84vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.34-0.49vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University1.36-1.54vs Predicted
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5Rice University-0.60+0.33vs Predicted
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6Tulane University1.16-3.32vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.17-2.16vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.84-0.68vs Predicted
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10Rice University-1.06-3.82vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-1.34-4.41vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.65-4.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.46Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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4.84Texas A&M University-0.170.0%1st Place
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2.51Tulane University1.340.3%1st Place
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2.46Texas A&M University1.360.3%1st Place
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5.33Rice University-0.600.0%1st Place
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2.68Tulane University1.160.3%1st Place
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4.84Texas A&M University-0.170.0%1st Place
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7.32Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.840.0%1st Place
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6.18Rice University-1.060.0%1st Place
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6.59University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
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7.09Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.650.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bradley Shaw | 28.2% | 29.2% | 22.2% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 4.9% | 5.6% | 11.7% | 20.0% | 22.6% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Watts | 28.7% | 26.3% | 21.9% | 14.4% | 6.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bradley Shaw | 28.2% | 29.2% | 22.2% | 12.5% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carter Walker | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 13.1% | 18.9% | 20.3% | 15.7% | 9.2% | 4.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mary Berg | 25.8% | 24.3% | 22.9% | 15.2% | 8.0% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Catherine Bristow | 4.9% | 5.6% | 11.7% | 20.0% | 22.6% | 16.4% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 1.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Dirksmeyer | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 23.6% | 35.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Cole | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 20.1% | 20.8% | 17.8% | 10.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 18.6% | 20.6% | 19.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Chloe Childs | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 17.4% | 22.9% | 29.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.