Race 1B

owlapalooza

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
James Mcavoy 42.1% 30.0% 16.3% 6.1% 3.9% 1.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Julian Martin 30.4% 30.3% 21.2% 11.1% 4.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Oyston 4.9% 6.1% 10.6% 11.4% 13.9% 17.6% 13.0% 11.5% 7.2% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Amy Fox 1.0% 2.0% 4.2% 6.6% 6.7% 10.2% 11.3% 15.2% 16.4% 26.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Oyston 4.9% 6.1% 10.6% 11.4% 13.9% 17.6% 13.0% 11.5% 7.2% 3.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Keanu Mitanga 3.3% 3.8% 6.2% 8.5% 10.4% 12.1% 13.2% 15.8% 13.2% 13.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Moreno 9.5% 13.2% 17.7% 21.4% 13.8% 12.0% 7.2% 3.4% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Isaac Brinkman 3.0% 4.5% 8.1% 10.5% 16.5% 15.6% 13.8% 11.8% 11.1% 5.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Alec Chappetta 1.7% 2.5% 5.8% 7.3% 10.0% 8.1% 13.6% 15.5% 16.6% 18.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Julian Martin 30.4% 30.3% 21.2% 11.1% 4.6% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Waguespack 1.7% 2.9% 4.0% 6.1% 8.6% 9.2% 12.6% 12.3% 20.3% 22.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Andres 2.4% 4.7% 5.9% 11.0% 11.6% 12.0% 14.7% 14.3% 13.9% 9.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.