Race 2B

owlapalooza

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Julian Martin 32.5% 29.6% 18.7% 10.8% 4.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Mcavoy 41.5% 30.3% 16.7% 7.1% 3.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Oyston 4.8% 5.7% 10.0% 12.6% 15.2% 15.3% 15.0% 9.6% 8.4% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Moreno 7.0% 13.7% 18.5% 21.1% 16.7% 9.2% 8.0% 4.0% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Julian Martin 32.5% 29.6% 18.7% 10.8% 4.4% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Alec Chappetta 2.8% 2.9% 5.1% 6.7% 8.1% 10.1% 11.2% 16.8% 16.8% 19.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Keanu Mitanga 3.2% 3.6% 6.6% 8.3% 9.9% 14.0% 13.1% 14.5% 14.5% 12.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Isaac Brinkman 2.9% 4.6% 9.1% 11.6% 14.7% 14.8% 15.5% 11.2% 9.7% 5.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Oyston 4.8% 5.7% 10.0% 12.6% 15.2% 15.3% 15.0% 9.6% 8.4% 3.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Andres 2.5% 5.2% 6.2% 10.5% 12.1% 11.3% 14.8% 14.9% 12.7% 9.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Waguespack 1.4% 2.4% 4.5% 6.0% 8.8% 11.8% 9.8% 14.2% 19.5% 21.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Amy Fox 1.4% 2.0% 4.6% 5.3% 6.9% 9.7% 11.5% 14.7% 16.7% 27.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.