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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.61+0.92vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University1.31+0.32vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.12+0.82vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University1.31-1.68vs Predicted
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6Rice University-1.60+0.65vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.60-2.10vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.52-1.41vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University-0.60-4.10vs Predicted
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10University of Texas-1.41-3.55vs Predicted
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11Tulane University-1.04-5.24vs Predicted
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12Rice University-1.51-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Tulane University1.610.4%1st Place
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2.32Texas A&M University1.310.3%1st Place
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3.82Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.120.1%1st Place
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2.32Texas A&M University1.310.3%1st Place
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6.65Rice University-1.600.0%1st Place
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4.9Texas A&M University-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.59Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.520.0%1st Place
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4.9Texas A&M University-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.45University of Texas-1.410.0%1st Place
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5.76Tulane University-1.040.0%1st Place
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6.59Rice University-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Mcavoy | 44.7% | 30.9% | 15.4% | 6.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Martin | 30.8% | 32.6% | 19.8% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Moreno | 9.2% | 13.4% | 22.9% | 21.1% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 4.1% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Martin | 30.8% | 32.6% | 19.8% | 10.0% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Fox | 1.5% | 2.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 15.9% | 17.3% | 24.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 4.8% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Waguespack | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 8.8% | 11.5% | 11.7% | 20.5% | 18.0% | 20.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 4.8% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 18.2% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 4.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chappetta | 2.0% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 14.4% | 17.9% | 19.9% | 17.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Andres | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 17.1% | 17.1% | 14.7% | 14.3% | 9.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Appel | 2.4% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 15.9% | 19.8% | 22.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.