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📊 Prediction Accuracy
45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.61+0.95vs Predicted
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2Texas A&M University1.31+0.31vs Predicted
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4Rice University-1.60+2.77vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.12-1.25vs Predicted
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6Rice University-1.51+0.46vs Predicted
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7Tulane University-1.04-1.27vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University-0.60-2.97vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University1.31-6.69vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University-0.60-4.97vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-1.41-4.58vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.52-5.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95Tulane University1.610.4%1st Place
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2.31Texas A&M University1.310.3%1st Place
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6.77Rice University-1.600.0%1st Place
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3.75Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.120.1%1st Place
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6.46Rice University-1.510.0%1st Place
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5.73Tulane University-1.040.0%1st Place
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5.03Texas A&M University-0.600.1%1st Place
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2.31Texas A&M University1.310.3%1st Place
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5.03Texas A&M University-0.600.1%1st Place
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6.42University of Texas-1.410.0%1st Place
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6.59Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Mcavoy | 42.8% | 32.1% | 15.5% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Martin | 30.9% | 32.0% | 21.2% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Fox | 1.7% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 18.8% | 25.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Moreno | 9.4% | 15.1% | 22.3% | 21.6% | 16.9% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Appel | 1.7% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 13.6% | 19.6% | 21.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Andres | 3.4% | 4.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 18.5% | 19.1% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 5.5% | 4.6% | 11.7% | 18.3% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Martin | 30.9% | 32.0% | 21.2% | 9.7% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 5.5% | 4.6% | 11.7% | 18.3% | 19.1% | 16.9% | 12.0% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chappetta | 2.2% | 2.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 18.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Waguespack | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 17.2% | 19.6% | 21.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.