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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University1.31+1.38vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.61+0.12vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University1.31-1.62vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.60+0.41vs Predicted
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6Texas A&M University-0.60-0.59vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.12-3.02vs Predicted
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8Rice University-1.51-1.21vs Predicted
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9Rice University-0.16-4.49vs Predicted
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10Tulane University-1.04-3.85vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.52-4.09vs Predicted
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12University of Texas-1.41-5.24vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.38Texas A&M University1.310.3%1st Place
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2.12Tulane University1.610.4%1st Place
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2.38Texas A&M University1.310.3%1st Place
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5.41Texas A&M University-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.41Texas A&M University-0.600.0%1st Place
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3.98Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.120.1%1st Place
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6.79Rice University-1.510.0%1st Place
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4.51Rice University-0.160.1%1st Place
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6.15Tulane University-1.040.0%1st Place
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6.91Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.520.0%1st Place
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6.76University of Texas-1.410.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Martin | 32.2% | 28.9% | 19.1% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Mcavoy | 37.0% | 33.0% | 17.8% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Martin | 32.2% | 28.9% | 19.1% | 11.5% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 4.1% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 4.1% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 16.2% | 17.6% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 5.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Moreno | 10.0% | 13.4% | 18.1% | 20.9% | 17.2% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Appel | 1.9% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 20.6% | 26.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Glover | 7.6% | 8.3% | 15.9% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 15.1% | 11.7% | 4.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Andres | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 18.1% | 12.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Waguespack | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 15.5% | 21.4% | 28.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chappetta | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 21.8% | 25.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.