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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University1.61+1.04vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University1.31-0.53vs Predicted
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4Texas A&M University-0.60+1.41vs Predicted
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5Texas A&M University-0.60+0.41vs Predicted
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6Rice University-0.16-1.52vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.52-0.26vs Predicted
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8University of Texas-1.41-1.27vs Predicted
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9Tulane University-1.04-2.88vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.12-5.91vs Predicted
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11Rice University-1.51-4.08vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University1.31-9.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.04Tulane University1.610.4%1st Place
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2.47Texas A&M University1.310.3%1st Place
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5.41Texas A&M University-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.41Texas A&M University-0.600.0%1st Place
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4.48Rice University-0.160.1%1st Place
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6.74Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.520.0%1st Place
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6.73University of Texas-1.410.0%1st Place
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6.12Tulane University-1.040.0%1st Place
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4.09Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.120.1%1st Place
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6.92Rice University-1.510.0%1st Place
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2.47Texas A&M University1.310.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Mcavoy | 41.3% | 29.9% | 17.4% | 7.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Martin | 28.3% | 30.0% | 21.3% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 4.6% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 4.6% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 16.9% | 15.9% | 13.2% | 5.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Glover | 7.2% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 20.1% | 16.7% | 14.6% | 9.5% | 5.1% | 2.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Waguespack | 1.7% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 13.3% | 19.8% | 26.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chappetta | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 12.5% | 17.2% | 22.2% | 22.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Andres | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 16.4% | 19.1% | 16.6% | 13.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Moreno | 9.8% | 12.3% | 19.6% | 16.2% | 18.3% | 12.2% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Appel | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 19.5% | 29.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Martin | 28.3% | 30.0% | 21.3% | 11.9% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.