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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Texas A&M University1.31+1.22vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.61+0.02vs Predicted
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3Texas A&M University-0.60+2.07vs Predicted
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4Rice University-1.60+2.65vs Predicted
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6Tulane University-1.04-0.35vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University-0.60-1.93vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University1.31-5.78vs Predicted
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9Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.12-5.24vs Predicted
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10Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.52-3.36vs Predicted
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11University of Texas-1.41-4.59vs Predicted
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12Rice University-1.51-5.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Texas A&M University1.310.3%1st Place
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2.02Tulane University1.610.4%1st Place
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5.07Texas A&M University-0.600.0%1st Place
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6.65Rice University-1.600.0%1st Place
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5.65Tulane University-1.040.0%1st Place
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5.07Texas A&M University-0.600.0%1st Place
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2.22Texas A&M University1.310.3%1st Place
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3.76Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi0.120.1%1st Place
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6.64Texas A&M University at Corpus Christi-1.520.0%1st Place
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6.41University of Texas-1.410.0%1st Place
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6.57Rice University-1.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian Martin | 35.0% | 30.3% | 19.3% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Mcavoy | 39.3% | 33.7% | 16.3% | 7.8% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 4.2% | 5.9% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Fox | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 23.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jessica Andres | 3.1% | 4.6% | 9.9% | 13.9% | 14.9% | 15.1% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 9.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Oyston | 4.2% | 5.9% | 12.9% | 16.2% | 18.0% | 18.3% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Martin | 35.0% | 30.3% | 19.3% | 10.5% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Moreno | 9.9% | 13.9% | 21.9% | 22.5% | 16.0% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Waguespack | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 16.6% | 22.3% | 20.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alec Chappetta | 2.4% | 3.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 12.6% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Richard Appel | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 10.1% | 13.6% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 22.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.