← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College1.95+6.19vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont1.05+8.42vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+9.76vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University1.85+3.02vs Predicted
-
5Boston College1.97+1.96vs Predicted
-
6Northeastern University0.46+7.20vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.67+0.42vs Predicted
-
8Bowdoin College1.13+2.10vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University1.15+1.16vs Predicted
-
10Tulane University2.05-3.56vs Predicted
-
11Brown University2.22-3.22vs Predicted
-
12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27-2.38vs Predicted
-
13Yale University2.25-7.30vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-1.37vs Predicted
-
15Maine Maritime Academy0.15-1.07vs Predicted
-
16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-7.95vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-6.11vs Predicted
-
18Boston University0.95-7.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.19Dartmouth College1.956.9%1st Place
-
10.42University of Vermont1.053.6%1st Place
-
12.76Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.5%1st Place
-
7.02Harvard University1.858.0%1st Place
-
6.96Boston College1.978.4%1st Place
-
13.2Northeastern University0.461.8%1st Place
-
7.42Tufts University1.678.9%1st Place
-
10.1Bowdoin College1.134.0%1st Place
-
10.16Tufts University1.154.5%1st Place
-
6.44Tulane University2.059.4%1st Place
-
7.78Brown University2.227.2%1st Place
-
9.62Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.274.3%1st Place
-
5.7Yale University2.2513.4%1st Place
-
12.63U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.8%1st Place
-
13.93Maine Maritime Academy0.151.2%1st Place
-
8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.456.2%1st Place
-
10.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.2%1st Place
-
10.74Boston University0.953.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.5% | 14.3% |
| Harrison Strom | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Peter Joslin | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 19.7% |
| John Eastman | 8.9% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Rebecca Schill | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% |
| John Wood | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| James Kopack | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 13.4% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 13.2% | 14.7% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 15.5% | 24.4% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Derry | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.