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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.50+10.02vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.63+4.21vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College4.06+5.62vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.66+6.34vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.00+4.04vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.89+3.17vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University3.92+2.14vs Predicted
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8Boston University4.07+0.68vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont3.62+1.25vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.62+0.38vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.88-1.75vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.79-1.91vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.40-1.80vs Predicted
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15Tufts University4.08-6.45vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.04-3.23vs Predicted
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17Harvard University4.52-10.52vs Predicted
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18Bowdoin College3.25-5.90vs Predicted
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19Eckerd College2.78-5.03vs Predicted
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20Connecticut College3.02-7.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.02Stanford University3.500.0%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy4.630.1%1st Place
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8.62Dartmouth College4.060.1%1st Place
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10.34U. S. Naval Academy3.660.0%1st Place
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9.04College of Charleston4.000.1%1st Place
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9.17Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.14Salve Regina University3.920.1%1st Place
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8.68Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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10.25University of Vermont3.620.0%1st Place
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10.38University of Rhode Island3.620.1%1st Place
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9.25Boston College3.880.0%1st Place
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10.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.790.0%1st Place
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11.2Brown University3.400.0%1st Place
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8.55Tufts University4.080.1%1st Place
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12.77Roger Williams University3.040.0%1st Place
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6.48Harvard University4.520.1%1st Place
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12.1Bowdoin College3.250.0%1st Place
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13.97Eckerd College2.780.0%1st Place
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12.72Connecticut College3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Dugdale | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.3% |
| Samuel Ingham | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Sam Williams | 6.5% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% |
| Jason Carminati | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Samuel Stokes | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.8% |
| Ben Greenfield | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Coleman Bowen | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% |
| Matthew Carmody | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 4.2% | 3.4% |
| Alex Cook | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Sam Padnos | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Nikolas Osvalds | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| William Haeger | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.3% |
| Tucker Blagden | 2.7% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 16.7% |
| Alan Palmer | 10.2% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| D.J. Hatch | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% |
| Robert Savoie | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 22.8% |
| Wells Bacon | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 14.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.