Race 10B

owlapalooza

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
James Mcavoy 41.4% 30.1% 15.9% 8.7% 2.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Julian Martin 29.4% 28.8% 21.4% 11.0% 6.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sarah Glover 6.9% 9.0% 14.3% 16.6% 18.5% 17.0% 11.2% 5.0% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Robert Moreno 8.6% 13.9% 18.3% 21.5% 16.9% 10.2% 7.5% 2.4% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Oyston 4.8% 6.5% 12.4% 14.7% 15.9% 15.0% 13.7% 10.7% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Alexandra Oyston 4.8% 6.5% 12.4% 14.7% 15.9% 15.0% 13.7% 10.7% 6.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Julian Martin 29.4% 28.8% 21.4% 11.0% 6.1% 2.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Waguespack 1.7% 2.5% 3.3% 6.4% 9.8% 11.3% 17.3% 21.6% 26.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Richard Appel 1.8% 1.9% 3.9% 5.5% 8.9% 12.4% 15.4% 22.0% 28.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jessica Andres 2.9% 4.1% 6.2% 9.5% 12.2% 16.8% 18.3% 17.6% 12.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Alec Chappetta 2.5% 3.2% 4.3% 6.1% 9.0% 13.6% 16.0% 20.5% 24.8% 0.0% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.