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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Notre Dame1.92+2.42vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College3.06-0.06vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.18+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.79-0.30vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.39-1.67vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.95-1.96vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.67-2.48vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.89-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.42University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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1.94Lake Forest College3.060.5%1st Place
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4.69University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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3.7University of Wisconsin1.790.1%1st Place
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4.33University of Wisconsin1.390.1%1st Place
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5.04University of Wisconsin0.950.1%1st Place
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5.52Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.35Marquette University-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Cyrul | 15.1% | 20.8% | 19.0% | 16.9% | 14.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 0.4% |
| Alexander O'Grady | 47.1% | 27.6% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 6.9% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 17.9% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 5.1% |
| Tom Groskopf | 12.3% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 1.0% |
| James Sitter | 7.5% | 10.9% | 16.9% | 16.3% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 11.4% | 1.8% |
| Ari Tessitore | 5.8% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 13.2% | 17.5% | 18.8% | 20.9% | 6.9% |
| Bobby Sessions | 4.5% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 20.1% | 29.5% | 11.1% |
| Patrick Barry | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 11.8% | 73.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.