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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Lake Forest College3.06+0.93vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.18+1.71vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.92-0.57vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.79-1.33vs Predicted
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6Marquette University0.67-0.48vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.39-2.72vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.95-2.90vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.89-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.93Lake Forest College3.060.5%1st Place
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4.71University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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3.43University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
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3.67University of Wisconsin1.790.1%1st Place
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5.52Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
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4.28University of Wisconsin1.390.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Wisconsin0.950.1%1st Place
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7.36Marquette University-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander O'Grady | 47.7% | 27.0% | 14.5% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 6.5% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 13.9% | 18.5% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 5.4% |
| Christian Cyrul | 14.9% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 18.2% | 14.2% | 9.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% |
| Tom Groskopf | 12.5% | 17.8% | 18.5% | 17.5% | 16.3% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Bobby Sessions | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 13.5% | 19.9% | 29.5% | 10.1% |
| James Sitter | 8.8% | 10.9% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 15.7% | 16.3% | 11.5% | 2.5% |
| Ari Tessitore | 5.4% | 7.1% | 10.8% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 23.0% | 7.0% |
| Patrick Barry | 0.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 11.6% | 73.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.