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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Lake Forest College3.06+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota1.18+1.68vs Predicted
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4Marquette University0.67+1.42vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.95+0.08vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.79-2.34vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.39-2.69vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame1.92-4.47vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.89-1.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Lake Forest College3.060.5%1st Place
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4.68University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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5.42Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
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5.08University of Wisconsin0.950.1%1st Place
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3.66University of Wisconsin1.790.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Wisconsin1.390.1%1st Place
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3.53University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
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7.37Marquette University-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander O'Grady | 47.3% | 26.8% | 14.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 6.6% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 15.0% | 18.7% | 18.9% | 14.5% | 4.9% |
| Bobby Sessions | 4.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 28.9% | 10.5% |
| Ari Tessitore | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 16.3% | 19.9% | 21.4% | 7.0% |
| Tom Groskopf | 12.7% | 17.0% | 20.4% | 18.0% | 13.4% | 11.6% | 6.1% | 0.8% |
| James Sitter | 8.5% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 12.3% | 2.3% |
| Christian Cyrul | 14.3% | 18.9% | 19.2% | 17.9% | 13.1% | 10.1% | 5.9% | 0.6% |
| Patrick Barry | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 10.9% | 73.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.