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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Lake Forest College3.06-0.04vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.95+2.10vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.18+0.66vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.79-1.31vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.39-1.69vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame1.92-3.56vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.67-2.49vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.89-1.66vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Lake Forest College3.060.5%1st Place
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5.1University of Wisconsin0.950.1%1st Place
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4.66University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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3.69University of Wisconsin1.790.1%1st Place
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4.31University of Wisconsin1.390.1%1st Place
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3.44University of Notre Dame1.920.1%1st Place
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5.51Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
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7.34Marquette University-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander O'Grady | 47.8% | 25.6% | 15.8% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Ari Tessitore | 5.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 17.4% | 20.4% | 19.5% | 8.6% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 7.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 15.7% | 16.5% | 18.5% | 16.7% | 4.0% |
| Tom Groskopf | 12.0% | 18.2% | 18.9% | 16.2% | 16.9% | 11.1% | 6.0% | 0.7% |
| James Sitter | 7.7% | 12.0% | 15.2% | 17.5% | 17.4% | 16.8% | 11.5% | 1.9% |
| Christian Cyrul | 14.7% | 18.6% | 21.6% | 17.7% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Bobby Sessions | 4.8% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 18.0% | 30.6% | 10.7% |
| Patrick Barry | 0.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 11.4% | 73.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.