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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Wisconsin1.79+1.65vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College3.06-1.03vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.18+0.70vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.39-0.67vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin0.95-0.90vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.89+0.34vs Predicted
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8Marquette University0.67-2.47vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame1.92-5.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.65University of Wisconsin1.790.1%1st Place
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1.97Lake Forest College3.060.5%1st Place
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4.7University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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4.33University of Wisconsin1.390.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Wisconsin0.950.0%1st Place
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7.34Marquette University-0.890.0%1st Place
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5.53Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
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3.38University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Groskopf | 12.8% | 17.2% | 19.4% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 0.9% |
| Alexander O'Grady | 46.5% | 27.2% | 14.2% | 8.1% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 6.4% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 17.5% | 18.1% | 16.7% | 4.3% |
| James Sitter | 9.3% | 11.4% | 14.0% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 18.3% | 11.0% | 2.7% |
| Ari Tessitore | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 21.5% | 6.7% |
| Patrick Barry | 0.6% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 13.3% | 71.4% |
| Bobby Sessions | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 14.3% | 18.4% | 27.4% | 13.1% |
| Christian Cyrul | 15.6% | 20.1% | 20.4% | 18.0% | 12.1% | 9.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.