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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Lake Forest College3.06+0.92vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.79+0.69vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.92-0.52vs Predicted
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5University of Minnesota1.18-0.32vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.39-1.70vs Predicted
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7Marquette University0.67-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of Wisconsin0.95-2.90vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.89-1.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.92Lake Forest College3.060.5%1st Place
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3.69University of Wisconsin1.790.1%1st Place
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3.48University of Notre Dame1.920.2%1st Place
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4.68University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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4.3University of Wisconsin1.390.1%1st Place
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5.47Marquette University0.670.0%1st Place
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5.1University of Wisconsin0.950.1%1st Place
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7.36Marquette University-0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander O'Grady | 48.1% | 27.3% | 14.0% | 7.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tom Groskopf | 12.1% | 16.7% | 20.0% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 10.9% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Christian Cyrul | 15.1% | 18.1% | 21.4% | 15.6% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 0.9% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 6.8% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 15.8% | 17.0% | 18.3% | 17.2% | 3.6% |
| James Sitter | 7.8% | 12.6% | 14.8% | 16.5% | 19.0% | 15.2% | 12.1% | 2.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 18.6% | 26.7% | 12.1% |
| Ari Tessitore | 5.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 13.1% | 14.5% | 20.8% | 21.9% | 7.3% |
| Patrick Barry | 0.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 11.9% | 73.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.