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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Minnesota1.18+2.86vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.95+2.35vs Predicted
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3Marquette University0.67+1.74vs Predicted
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4University of Notre Dame1.92-1.20vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin1.79-3.04vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin1.39-3.45vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.89-1.08vs Predicted
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9Lake Forest College-0.83-2.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.86University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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4.35University of Wisconsin0.950.1%1st Place
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4.74Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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2.8University of Notre Dame1.920.3%1st Place
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2.96University of Wisconsin1.790.2%1st Place
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3.55University of Wisconsin1.390.2%1st Place
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6.92Marquette University-0.890.0%1st Place
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6.81Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Isabella Hamilton | 13.2% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 18.4% | 16.1% | 15.7% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Ari Tessitore | 10.1% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 15.0% | 18.5% | 19.0% | 11.2% | 2.4% |
| Bobby Sessions | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 14.4% | 15.2% | 24.0% | 15.1% | 4.3% |
| Christian Cyrul | 25.4% | 23.7% | 19.4% | 16.2% | 9.2% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Tom Groskopf | 24.3% | 22.3% | 18.8% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| James Sitter | 16.1% | 16.4% | 18.1% | 16.2% | 17.1% | 11.3% | 4.3% | 0.5% |
| Patrick Barry | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 8.5% | 26.7% | 50.2% |
| Charles Koules | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 9.7% | 33.6% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.