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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2University of Wisconsin1.79+0.87vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin0.95+1.36vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.39-0.42vs Predicted
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5Marquette University0.67-0.18vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame1.92-3.25vs Predicted
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7University of Minnesota1.18-3.09vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.89-1.10vs Predicted
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9Lake Forest College-0.83-2.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87University of Wisconsin1.790.3%1st Place
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4.36University of Wisconsin0.950.1%1st Place
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3.58University of Wisconsin1.390.2%1st Place
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4.82Marquette University0.670.1%1st Place
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2.75University of Notre Dame1.920.3%1st Place
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3.91University of Minnesota1.180.1%1st Place
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6.9Marquette University-0.890.0%1st Place
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6.8Lake Forest College-0.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Groskopf | 26.0% | 21.1% | 20.6% | 14.2% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Ari Tessitore | 9.7% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 15.7% | 19.6% | 17.7% | 11.2% | 2.6% |
| James Sitter | 15.4% | 16.4% | 17.1% | 19.0% | 15.7% | 11.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Bobby Sessions | 7.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 25.9% | 15.7% | 3.9% |
| Christian Cyrul | 25.8% | 26.7% | 17.2% | 13.8% | 10.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Isabella Hamilton | 12.6% | 13.1% | 16.3% | 17.7% | 18.1% | 14.1% | 7.1% | 1.0% |
| Patrick Barry | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 9.9% | 26.4% | 49.7% |
| Charles Koules | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 10.7% | 32.6% | 41.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.