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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.58+0.99vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.10+2.47vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.84-0.07vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin0.30-1.21vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.38+0.51vs Predicted
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7Lake Forest College-0.74-1.50vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.49-2.84vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.86-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.99University of Wisconsin1.580.5%1st Place
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4.47University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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2.93University of Minnesota0.840.2%1st Place
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3.79University of Wisconsin0.300.1%1st Place
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6.51University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.5Lake Forest College-0.740.0%1st Place
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5.16Marquette University-0.490.0%1st Place
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5.65Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Janssen | 45.2% | 28.1% | 15.1% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 8.4% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 17.9% | 17.5% | 15.3% | 11.3% | 5.9% |
| Eric Villadsen | 20.0% | 24.6% | 22.6% | 17.2% | 9.3% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Scott Sazama | 12.0% | 15.6% | 18.8% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 2.1% |
| Molly LaFave | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 12.9% | 22.2% | 41.7% |
| Isabel Regine | 4.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 12.3% | 15.8% | 16.7% | 20.8% | 17.5% |
| John O'Rourke | 4.8% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 19.1% | 17.6% | 12.4% |
| Learon McGinn | 2.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 14.2% | 19.2% | 20.9% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.