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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Maine Maritime Academy0.15+12.82vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.05+4.20vs Predicted
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3Boston University0.95+8.03vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+3.74vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.27+4.45vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.33+6.78vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.950.00vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.13+2.07vs Predicted
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9Yale University2.25-3.08vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.15+0.06vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.09-0.25vs Predicted
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12Harvard University1.85-5.07vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.45-4.95vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.46-0.70vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.67-7.40vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.97-8.68vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.05-4.33vs Predicted
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18University of Vermont1.05-7.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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13.82Maine Maritime Academy0.151.4%1st Place
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6.2Tulane University2.0510.7%1st Place
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11.03Boston University0.953.3%1st Place
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7.74Brown University2.226.6%1st Place
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9.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.275.1%1st Place
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12.78Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.332.1%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College1.958.2%1st Place
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10.07Bowdoin College1.133.6%1st Place
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5.92Yale University2.2512.5%1st Place
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10.06Tufts University1.154.7%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.094.0%1st Place
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6.93Harvard University1.859.1%1st Place
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8.05Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.456.4%1st Place
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13.3Northeastern University0.461.7%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University1.677.8%1st Place
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7.32Boston College1.977.5%1st Place
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12.67U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.051.8%1st Place
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10.31University of Vermont1.053.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jane Marvin | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 24.4% |
| John Wood | 10.7% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Balunas | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 5.5% |
| Mason Stang | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| James Kopack | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% |
| Kevin Brooksbank | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 15.7% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Rebecca Schill | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 3.3% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.0% |
| Jack Derry | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% |
| Harrison Strom | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Julius Heitkoetter | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Aidan Boni | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 18.6% |
| John Eastman | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Peter Joslin | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Lewis Bragg | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 14.9% |
| Calvin Lamosse | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 4.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.