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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.10+3.42vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.84+0.97vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.74+2.53vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.58-1.98vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.38+0.48vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.49-1.90vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.86-2.25vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin0.30-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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2.97University of Minnesota0.840.2%1st Place
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5.53Lake Forest College-0.740.0%1st Place
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2.02University of Wisconsin1.580.4%1st Place
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6.48University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.1Marquette University-0.490.1%1st Place
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5.75Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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3.72University of Wisconsin0.300.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Zimmerman | 7.7% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 18.5% | 18.6% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 4.9% |
| Eric Villadsen | 20.6% | 22.5% | 24.3% | 14.7% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Isabel Regine | 4.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 14.4% | 18.7% | 19.5% | 18.8% |
| Noah Janssen | 43.7% | 27.8% | 16.8% | 7.7% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Molly LaFave | 1.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 21.0% | 41.3% |
| John O'Rourke | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 13.9% | 17.8% | 17.4% | 18.5% | 10.4% |
| Learon McGinn | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 19.0% | 21.2% | 22.4% |
| Scott Sazama | 12.3% | 16.4% | 19.4% | 18.6% | 15.1% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.