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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.10+3.47vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.30+1.88vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.74+2.60vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin1.58-1.96vs Predicted
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6University of Minnesota0.84-3.01vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.86-1.19vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.49-2.75vs Predicted
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9University of Notre Dame-1.02-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.47University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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3.88University of Wisconsin0.300.1%1st Place
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5.6Lake Forest College-0.740.0%1st Place
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2.04University of Wisconsin1.580.4%1st Place
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2.99University of Minnesota0.840.2%1st Place
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5.81Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.25Marquette University-0.490.1%1st Place
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5.97University of Notre Dame-1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Zimmerman | 6.8% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 16.8% | 17.0% | 15.9% | 10.5% | 6.6% |
| Scott Sazama | 11.6% | 14.7% | 16.6% | 20.6% | 16.2% | 11.0% | 6.7% | 2.6% |
| Isabel Regine | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 17.8% | 20.4% | 21.4% |
| Noah Janssen | 43.1% | 27.6% | 17.8% | 8.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Eric Villadsen | 21.2% | 23.0% | 21.8% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 5.4% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Learon McGinn | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 10.2% | 13.1% | 15.1% | 21.0% | 25.4% |
| John O'Rourke | 5.8% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 17.4% | 18.4% | 14.8% |
| Jacob Hoyt | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 20.6% | 28.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.