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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin0.30+2.78vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin-0.10+2.54vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin1.58-0.97vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota0.84-1.00vs Predicted
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6Marquette University-0.86-0.15vs Predicted
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7Marquette University-0.49-1.81vs Predicted
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8University of Notre Dame-1.02-1.90vs Predicted
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9Lake Forest College-0.74-3.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.78University of Wisconsin0.300.1%1st Place
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4.54University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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2.03University of Wisconsin1.580.4%1st Place
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3.0University of Minnesota0.840.2%1st Place
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5.85Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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5.19Marquette University-0.490.1%1st Place
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6.1University of Notre Dame-1.020.0%1st Place
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5.51Lake Forest College-0.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scott Sazama | 11.3% | 17.3% | 19.0% | 18.6% | 14.3% | 10.0% | 7.3% | 2.2% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 8.0% | 9.9% | 14.0% | 15.2% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 12.0% | 6.6% |
| Noah Janssen | 43.7% | 28.0% | 16.3% | 7.7% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eric Villadsen | 20.5% | 23.8% | 20.5% | 17.0% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% |
| Learon McGinn | 3.4% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 22.7% | 24.3% |
| John O'Rourke | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 14.0% | 16.9% | 16.2% | 18.1% | 13.5% |
| Jacob Hoyt | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 19.7% | 33.9% |
| Isabel Regine | 4.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 20.2% | 18.3% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.