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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.58+0.97vs Predicted
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2University of Minnesota0.84+0.86vs Predicted
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3Lake Forest College-0.74+2.31vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin-0.10+0.35vs Predicted
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6University of Notre Dame-1.02-0.21vs Predicted
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7University of Wisconsin0.30-3.33vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-1.55-1.42vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-0.86-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.97University of Wisconsin1.580.5%1st Place
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2.86University of Minnesota0.840.2%1st Place
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5.31Lake Forest College-0.740.0%1st Place
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4.35University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Notre Dame-1.020.0%1st Place
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3.67University of Wisconsin0.300.1%1st Place
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6.58Marquette University-1.550.0%1st Place
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5.47Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Janssen | 46.0% | 26.6% | 17.6% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Eric Villadsen | 20.1% | 27.2% | 21.4% | 16.1% | 9.6% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Isabel Regine | 4.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 16.3% | 19.3% | 19.2% | 13.8% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 15.0% | 10.3% | 4.1% |
| Jacob Hoyt | 3.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 15.2% | 17.7% | 23.8% | 20.7% |
| Scott Sazama | 12.3% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 20.2% | 16.2% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Kathleen O'Shea | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 13.1% | 19.7% | 45.5% |
| Learon McGinn | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 20.2% | 20.1% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.