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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin1.58+0.95vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin0.30+1.67vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.84-0.15vs Predicted
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5Lake Forest College-0.74+0.35vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin-0.10-1.68vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.02-1.22vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.86-2.40vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-1.55-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.95University of Wisconsin1.580.5%1st Place
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3.67University of Wisconsin0.300.1%1st Place
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2.85University of Minnesota0.840.2%1st Place
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5.35Lake Forest College-0.740.0%1st Place
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4.32University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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5.78University of Notre Dame-1.020.0%1st Place
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5.6Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.48Marquette University-1.550.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noah Janssen | 46.7% | 27.9% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Scott Sazama | 12.2% | 15.0% | 21.1% | 20.9% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Eric Villadsen | 20.9% | 25.7% | 23.3% | 15.2% | 9.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Isabel Regine | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 16.6% | 17.6% | 19.4% | 15.0% |
| Katherine Zimmerman | 7.2% | 11.8% | 15.1% | 18.9% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 10.8% | 3.0% |
| Jacob Hoyt | 3.8% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 10.5% | 13.5% | 20.1% | 19.2% | 22.9% |
| Learon McGinn | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 17.1% | 21.8% | 18.5% |
| Kathleen O'Shea | 1.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 9.7% | 14.6% | 22.7% | 39.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.