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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin-0.10+3.15vs Predicted
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2Lake Forest College-0.74+3.29vs Predicted
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3University of Minnesota0.84-0.19vs Predicted
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4University of Wisconsin0.30-0.38vs Predicted
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5University of Wisconsin1.58-3.05vs Predicted
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7University of Notre Dame-1.38-0.78vs Predicted
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8Marquette University-0.86-2.53vs Predicted
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9Marquette University-1.63-2.52vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15University of Wisconsin-0.100.1%1st Place
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5.29Lake Forest College-0.740.0%1st Place
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2.81University of Minnesota0.840.2%1st Place
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3.62University of Wisconsin0.300.1%1st Place
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1.95University of Wisconsin1.580.5%1st Place
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6.22University of Notre Dame-1.380.0%1st Place
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5.47Marquette University-0.860.0%1st Place
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6.48Marquette University-1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Zimmerman | 8.1% | 12.4% | 17.5% | 18.5% | 18.5% | 14.5% | 7.7% | 2.8% |
| Isabel Regine | 4.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 13.5% | 15.4% | 22.4% | 17.5% | 12.6% |
| Eric Villadsen | 21.8% | 25.3% | 23.0% | 16.1% | 9.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Scott Sazama | 11.5% | 16.9% | 21.0% | 19.7% | 16.3% | 10.3% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Noah Janssen | 47.1% | 26.0% | 15.4% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Molly LaFave | 1.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 11.8% | 15.0% | 26.4% | 29.8% |
| Learon McGinn | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 11.5% | 16.7% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 15.2% |
| Owen Bradley | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 14.8% | 23.9% | 37.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.