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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.57+1.87vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University0.85+1.98vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.10vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech1.14-0.46vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.16+0.50vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.23-1.12vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.24-0.09vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.87-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
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3.98Monmouth University0.850.1%1st Place
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1.9University of Pennsylvania2.440.5%1st Place
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3.54Virginia Tech1.140.1%1st Place
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5.5Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.88Ocean County College0.230.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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6.41William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Gillette | 19.8% | 26.4% | 21.7% | 17.8% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Seitz | 9.2% | 12.4% | 18.8% | 20.0% | 18.7% | 13.2% | 6.4% | 1.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 47.0% | 29.0% | 14.6% | 6.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 12.5% | 17.3% | 19.7% | 21.1% | 17.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 0.4% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 23.2% | 23.0% | 10.5% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 5.7% | 5.7% | 11.7% | 16.1% | 18.6% | 22.6% | 13.9% | 5.7% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 20.9% | 53.1% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 9.6% | 18.3% | 31.0% | 28.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.