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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.57+1.88vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University0.85+1.96vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.10vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.16+1.48vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.23-0.07vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.14-2.51vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.87-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.24-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
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3.96Monmouth University0.850.1%1st Place
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1.9University of Pennsylvania2.440.5%1st Place
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5.48Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.93Ocean County College0.230.0%1st Place
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3.49Virginia Tech1.140.1%1st Place
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6.5William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.86University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Gillette | 20.2% | 25.5% | 22.6% | 16.8% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Seitz | 9.4% | 12.6% | 18.4% | 19.5% | 19.9% | 13.7% | 5.4% | 1.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 46.6% | 29.4% | 15.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 17.9% | 22.8% | 22.1% | 11.2% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 4.5% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 14.5% | 22.2% | 21.0% | 15.6% | 4.9% |
| Preston Senior | 13.0% | 16.3% | 22.0% | 21.9% | 15.0% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Audrey Fulk | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 14.4% | 28.8% | 35.0% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 0.7% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 13.5% | 24.3% | 47.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.