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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.88vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.57+0.92vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University0.85+0.96vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.16+1.51vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech1.14-1.48vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.23-1.10vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.24-0.10vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.87-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Pennsylvania2.440.5%1st Place
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2.92Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
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3.96Monmouth University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.51Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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3.52Virginia Tech1.140.1%1st Place
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4.9Ocean County College0.230.1%1st Place
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6.9University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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6.41William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Esquier | 49.7% | 26.5% | 13.8% | 6.9% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 18.5% | 25.8% | 23.4% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Seitz | 9.0% | 14.0% | 15.8% | 23.0% | 18.3% | 13.0% | 5.2% | 1.7% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 16.8% | 23.2% | 23.2% | 11.4% |
| Preston Senior | 11.9% | 18.2% | 21.6% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 0.5% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 5.3% | 5.3% | 12.5% | 16.0% | 19.5% | 20.7% | 14.8% | 5.9% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 20.6% | 52.0% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 9.0% | 18.9% | 31.2% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.