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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.57+1.86vs Predicted
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2Drexel University-0.16+3.47vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.14+0.49vs Predicted
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4University of Delaware-1.24+2.93vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.23-0.09vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University0.85-2.07vs Predicted
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7University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.02vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.87-1.57vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
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5.47Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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3.49Virginia Tech1.140.1%1st Place
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6.93University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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4.91Ocean County College0.230.0%1st Place
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3.93Monmouth University0.850.1%1st Place
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1.98University of Pennsylvania2.440.5%1st Place
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6.43William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Gillette | 20.9% | 25.5% | 23.3% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 9.9% | 17.2% | 23.8% | 23.5% | 10.2% |
| Preston Senior | 13.5% | 16.5% | 21.5% | 19.7% | 17.4% | 8.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 21.6% | 52.2% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 4.4% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 18.8% | 22.1% | 15.4% | 4.8% |
| Sydney Seitz | 9.7% | 13.3% | 17.2% | 21.2% | 18.9% | 13.2% | 5.2% | 1.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 45.7% | 27.7% | 14.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.2% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 9.3% | 15.9% | 31.1% | 30.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.