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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.57+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-1.24+4.88vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.23+1.85vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.06vs Predicted
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5Monmouth University0.85-1.05vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.16-0.54vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech1.14-3.39vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.87-1.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
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6.88University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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4.85Ocean County College0.230.1%1st Place
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1.94University of Pennsylvania2.440.4%1st Place
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3.95Monmouth University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.46Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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3.61Virginia Tech1.140.1%1st Place
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6.46William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Gillette | 21.0% | 25.0% | 23.1% | 15.6% | 10.3% | 4.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 22.0% | 51.8% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 19.3% | 22.1% | 15.0% | 4.8% |
| Ava Esquier | 44.8% | 30.4% | 15.1% | 6.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Seitz | 10.1% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 22.6% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 6.3% | 0.8% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.2% | 4.6% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 18.5% | 23.4% | 20.8% | 11.1% |
| Preston Senior | 12.7% | 15.9% | 20.8% | 20.2% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 9.3% | 17.6% | 30.3% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.