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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.57+1.89vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.07vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University0.85+0.92vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.16+1.50vs Predicted
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5William and Mary-0.87+1.48vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.14-2.50vs Predicted
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7Ocean County College0.23-2.06vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.24-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.89Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
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1.93University of Pennsylvania2.440.5%1st Place
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3.92Monmouth University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.5Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.48William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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3.5Virginia Tech1.140.1%1st Place
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4.94Ocean County College0.230.1%1st Place
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6.86University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Gillette | 20.8% | 24.0% | 23.3% | 16.6% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 46.0% | 29.3% | 15.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Seitz | 9.5% | 12.2% | 18.3% | 22.9% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 5.3% | 1.3% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 11.4% | 18.6% | 21.8% | 20.5% | 12.9% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 17.1% | 29.6% | 32.4% |
| Preston Senior | 12.8% | 17.6% | 20.9% | 21.2% | 14.9% | 9.2% | 2.8% | 0.6% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 14.1% | 20.3% | 22.9% | 15.7% | 5.1% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 1.2% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 12.0% | 24.9% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.