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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.88vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.57+0.94vs Predicted
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3Monmouth University0.85+0.97vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.16+1.47vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.23-0.11vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.14-2.50vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.87-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.24-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88University of Pennsylvania2.440.5%1st Place
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2.94Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
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3.97Monmouth University0.850.1%1st Place
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5.47Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.89Ocean County College0.230.0%1st Place
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3.5Virginia Tech1.140.1%1st Place
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6.5William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.84University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Esquier | 49.2% | 26.4% | 15.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 18.0% | 25.6% | 24.5% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Sydney Seitz | 9.7% | 12.7% | 16.5% | 21.7% | 19.4% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 1.3% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 16.7% | 23.3% | 22.3% | 11.1% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 4.5% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 14.7% | 21.3% | 21.6% | 14.6% | 5.0% |
| Preston Senior | 13.0% | 17.7% | 19.9% | 21.7% | 15.6% | 8.6% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 15.4% | 28.5% | 34.9% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 13.0% | 24.8% | 46.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.