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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.57+1.87vs Predicted
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2Virginia Tech1.14+1.56vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.11vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.23+0.92vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.16+0.51vs Predicted
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6Monmouth University0.85-2.08vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.24-0.08vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.87-1.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
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3.56Virginia Tech1.140.1%1st Place
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1.89University of Pennsylvania2.440.5%1st Place
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4.92Ocean County College0.230.0%1st Place
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5.51Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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3.92Monmouth University0.850.1%1st Place
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6.92University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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6.41William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Gillette | 19.9% | 27.2% | 20.9% | 17.0% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Preston Senior | 12.1% | 16.4% | 22.1% | 20.2% | 15.6% | 9.6% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 47.4% | 28.5% | 15.2% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 4.6% | 7.1% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 21.2% | 20.5% | 15.5% | 5.6% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.2% | 4.1% | 7.4% | 10.5% | 17.4% | 24.7% | 21.7% | 11.0% |
| Sydney Seitz | 10.0% | 11.9% | 17.7% | 23.3% | 19.0% | 11.1% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 22.1% | 52.4% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.0% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 9.0% | 19.2% | 30.4% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.