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📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.57+1.88vs Predicted
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2Monmouth University0.85+1.99vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.10vs Predicted
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4Ocean County College0.23+0.90vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.16+0.50vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.14-2.50vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-1.24-0.09vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.87-1.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.88Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
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3.99Monmouth University0.850.1%1st Place
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1.9University of Pennsylvania2.440.5%1st Place
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4.9Ocean County College0.230.0%1st Place
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5.5Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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3.5Virginia Tech1.140.1%1st Place
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6.91University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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6.42William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Gillette | 20.0% | 26.3% | 21.4% | 17.2% | 9.5% | 4.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Sydney Seitz | 9.6% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 19.2% | 19.2% | 14.5% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 47.0% | 28.8% | 15.1% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 4.5% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 21.3% | 19.7% | 15.6% | 5.5% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 17.1% | 24.5% | 21.9% | 10.9% |
| Preston Senior | 13.0% | 16.1% | 21.3% | 23.1% | 14.8% | 8.0% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 22.0% | 52.3% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 18.4% | 30.6% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.