← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
87.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.44+0.90vs Predicted
-
2Monmouth University0.85+1.98vs Predicted
-
3Villanova University1.57-0.10vs Predicted
-
4Ocean County College0.23+0.89vs Predicted
-
5Drexel University-0.16+0.51vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech1.14-2.50vs Predicted
-
7University of Delaware-1.24-0.08vs Predicted
-
8William and Mary-0.87-1.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.9University of Pennsylvania2.440.5%1st Place
-
3.98Monmouth University0.850.1%1st Place
-
2.9Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
-
4.89Ocean County College0.230.0%1st Place
-
5.51Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
-
3.5Virginia Tech1.140.1%1st Place
-
6.92University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
-
6.4William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Esquier | 47.0% | 29.1% | 14.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sydney Seitz | 9.7% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 20.1% | 18.8% | 14.3% | 5.6% | 1.4% |
| Max Gillette | 19.7% | 24.9% | 22.8% | 17.0% | 10.6% | 4.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 4.9% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 15.5% | 20.3% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 5.5% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.4% | 3.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 25.1% | 22.0% | 10.9% |
| Preston Senior | 12.8% | 17.4% | 20.2% | 22.0% | 15.8% | 8.1% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 22.1% | 52.3% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.2% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 17.8% | 30.6% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.