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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University0.85+2.87vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.57+0.95vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.23+1.86vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.08vs Predicted
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5Drexel University-0.16+0.50vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.14-2.48vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.87-0.49vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.24-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.87Monmouth University0.850.1%1st Place
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2.95Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
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4.86Ocean County College0.230.1%1st Place
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1.92University of Pennsylvania2.440.5%1st Place
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5.5Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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3.52Virginia Tech1.140.1%1st Place
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6.51William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.87University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Seitz | 10.1% | 13.8% | 17.9% | 21.4% | 17.7% | 13.2% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Max Gillette | 18.9% | 24.0% | 24.0% | 17.3% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 5.4% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 20.6% | 21.1% | 14.7% | 5.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 47.7% | 26.1% | 17.2% | 5.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 11.0% | 17.4% | 23.9% | 22.9% | 10.5% |
| Preston Senior | 12.2% | 17.8% | 20.7% | 19.7% | 18.0% | 9.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Audrey Fulk | 1.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 27.2% | 36.2% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 11.4% | 27.7% | 45.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.