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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University0.85+2.88vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.08vs Predicted
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3Virginia Tech1.14+0.53vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.16+1.49vs Predicted
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5University of Delaware-1.24+1.92vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College0.23-1.13vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.57-4.00vs Predicted
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8William and Mary-0.87-1.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Monmouth University0.850.1%1st Place
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1.92University of Pennsylvania2.440.5%1st Place
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3.53Virginia Tech1.140.1%1st Place
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5.49Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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6.92University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
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4.87Ocean County College0.230.1%1st Place
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3.0Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
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6.39William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Seitz | 9.5% | 14.2% | 17.6% | 22.5% | 17.9% | 11.6% | 5.8% | 0.9% |
| Ava Esquier | 46.0% | 29.6% | 14.7% | 6.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Preston Senior | 13.7% | 16.2% | 21.0% | 20.2% | 15.2% | 9.3% | 3.7% | 0.7% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.7% | 17.5% | 22.4% | 21.5% | 12.4% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 13.2% | 21.4% | 51.2% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 5.4% | 7.2% | 10.6% | 15.3% | 21.4% | 19.3% | 15.4% | 5.4% |
| Max Gillette | 19.5% | 23.2% | 22.1% | 17.0% | 12.1% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Fulk | 2.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 8.0% | 19.2% | 30.2% | 29.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.