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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.73+6.82vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.74+4.23vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.73+3.37vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.08+4.79vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.62+1.86vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.05+4.24vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.59-0.08vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.84+1.78vs Predicted
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9Tulane University2.17-4.07vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.43-2.66vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.01-1.79vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.50-0.80vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.10+0.62vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.85-4.22vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.01-5.73vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.65-1.01vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.51-2.73vs Predicted
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18Harvard University-0.20-4.63vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.737.0%1st Place
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6.23Brown University1.749.3%1st Place
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6.37Boston College1.739.4%1st Place
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8.79Dartmouth College1.085.2%1st Place
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6.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.628.9%1st Place
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10.24Bowdoin College0.054.0%1st Place
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6.92Yale University1.598.5%1st Place
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9.78University of Vermont0.844.3%1st Place
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4.93Tulane University2.1714.7%1st Place
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7.34Tufts University1.437.2%1st Place
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9.21Boston University1.014.2%1st Place
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11.2Northeastern University0.503.1%1st Place
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13.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.101.8%1st Place
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9.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges0.853.9%1st Place
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9.27Tufts University1.015.1%1st Place
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14.99Maine Maritime Academy-0.650.9%1st Place
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14.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy-0.510.8%1st Place
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13.37Harvard University-0.201.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Zylinski | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Cam Spriggs | 9.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Lech | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Ben Sheppard | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| William Kulas | 8.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Mathias Reimer | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Cooper Smith | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Bobby Rielly | 14.7% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Flores | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Selian | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Carter Anderson | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% |
| Katherine Mason | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 14.5% | 16.0% | 17.6% |
| Jack Guinness | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Sophia Hubbard | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Griffin Stolp | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 11.7% | 18.6% | 34.2% |
| Evan Tofolo | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 19.2% | 22.9% |
| Olivia Hogan-Lopez | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 11.6% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.