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📊 Prediction Accuracy
75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Monmouth University0.85+2.88vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.57+0.96vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.12vs Predicted
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4Drexel University-0.16+1.49vs Predicted
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5Ocean County College0.23-0.07vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech1.14-2.51vs Predicted
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7William and Mary-0.87-0.50vs Predicted
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8University of Delaware-1.24-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.88Monmouth University0.850.1%1st Place
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2.96Villanova University1.570.2%1st Place
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1.88University of Pennsylvania2.440.5%1st Place
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5.49Drexel University-0.160.0%1st Place
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4.93Ocean County College0.230.0%1st Place
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3.49Virginia Tech1.140.1%1st Place
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6.5William and Mary-0.870.0%1st Place
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6.87University of Delaware-1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Seitz | 9.9% | 13.0% | 18.3% | 22.1% | 18.6% | 12.1% | 4.7% | 1.3% |
| Max Gillette | 18.0% | 25.3% | 24.0% | 16.5% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 48.1% | 27.8% | 15.7% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Haley Clemson | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 17.6% | 23.8% | 21.9% | 11.1% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 4.7% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 13.8% | 22.4% | 21.5% | 15.4% | 4.9% |
| Preston Senior | 12.7% | 18.3% | 19.4% | 21.9% | 16.2% | 8.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Audrey Fulk | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 8.2% | 14.4% | 29.7% | 34.7% |
| Hannah Babbitz | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 13.8% | 24.2% | 47.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.