Race 1A

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Taylor Gavula 7.9% 8.0% 11.2% 9.1% 8.7% 8.4% 8.6% 9.4% 6.7% 6.7% 5.2% 4.6% 4.0% 1.5%
Elise Gehling 6.0% 8.6% 7.1% 7.3% 7.2% 7.3% 8.9% 7.5% 9.4% 9.2% 7.8% 6.6% 4.6% 2.5%
Sarah Hermus 19.0% 16.0% 12.9% 11.6% 9.8% 10.0% 6.7% 4.8% 4.4% 2.4% 1.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
Madelynn Widmeier 4.9% 6.3% 7.3% 8.8% 7.0% 6.7% 8.8% 9.0% 7.6% 9.0% 8.2% 7.6% 4.4% 4.4%
Casey Klingler 11.1% 11.9% 11.7% 12.4% 10.3% 8.8% 8.1% 7.5% 6.9% 4.0% 4.0% 1.9% 0.9% 0.5%
Mary Paz 7.0% 5.9% 6.7% 7.2% 8.0% 9.6% 7.0% 8.3% 9.7% 8.6% 6.2% 7.6% 6.2% 2.0%
Emily Croteau 3.1% 3.1% 4.1% 4.6% 5.3% 4.5% 4.9% 4.8% 7.7% 8.1% 10.0% 10.9% 13.3% 15.6%
Hannah Steadman 15.1% 15.4% 11.7% 10.3% 11.8% 8.4% 6.0% 6.6% 3.7% 4.8% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Lindsay Doyle 8.3% 6.7% 7.6% 8.1% 7.6% 9.8% 10.6% 9.2% 7.0% 8.2% 6.3% 6.0% 3.0% 1.6%
Caroline Downey 4.1% 4.1% 4.6% 5.4% 6.4% 5.4% 6.9% 8.3% 8.3% 8.9% 9.9% 9.8% 10.0% 7.9%
Janel DeCurtis 4.2% 3.5% 3.8% 4.0% 6.1% 6.1% 6.3% 6.8% 7.3% 7.5% 11.9% 10.7% 11.3% 10.5%
Gwynie Dunlevy 1.9% 2.4% 2.0% 2.5% 3.2% 3.1% 3.7% 3.8% 6.6% 7.5% 9.3% 11.5% 15.0% 27.5%
Greta Farrell 5.2% 6.2% 6.1% 5.6% 6.5% 7.0% 8.4% 8.4% 9.4% 8.8% 8.3% 8.0% 7.5% 4.6%
Julia Fuller 2.2% 1.9% 3.2% 3.1% 2.1% 4.9% 5.1% 5.6% 5.3% 6.3% 7.4% 12.9% 18.8% 21.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.