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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.34+6.27vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+3.03vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.02+5.42vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont2.58+2.66vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37-0.57vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.54vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.18-2.44vs Predicted
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82.44-0.96vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University1.86+0.02vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College1.27+0.74vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-3.09vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.65-5.59vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.60-3.39vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.34-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.27Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.03Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.42Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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6.66University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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4.43University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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7.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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4.56Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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7.042.440.1%1st Place
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9.02Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.74Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
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7.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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6.41Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elise Gehling | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 3.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 13.8% | 11.4% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Caroline Downey | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 6.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 15.2% | 16.2% | 14.4% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 16.0% | 15.3% | 11.9% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Mary Paz | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 9.3% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 16.4% | 28.3% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 5.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% |
| Emily Croteau | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 15.1% |
| Julia Fuller | 2.2% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 12.4% | 16.5% | 22.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.