Race 3A

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Janel DeCurtis 4.6% 3.2% 4.4% 4.4% 5.2% 6.9% 6.8% 6.8% 9.3% 6.8% 10.0% 10.7% 11.3% 9.6%
Elise Gehling 5.9% 9.1% 7.2% 7.1% 6.6% 7.3% 7.9% 9.0% 8.6% 10.0% 7.7% 6.9% 3.7% 3.0%
Casey Klingler 13.0% 12.1% 13.1% 10.2% 9.6% 9.3% 7.4% 8.2% 5.5% 6.0% 3.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.3%
Lindsay Doyle 7.3% 8.0% 8.7% 8.3% 8.6% 8.3% 8.6% 7.6% 9.3% 7.1% 7.3% 5.9% 3.5% 1.5%
Emily Croteau 2.6% 2.6% 3.6% 3.4% 4.1% 5.0% 6.1% 6.0% 5.8% 7.2% 9.6% 10.8% 16.2% 17.0%
Madelynn Widmeier 6.1% 5.3% 6.0% 7.6% 7.5% 8.3% 8.2% 8.2% 8.0% 8.4% 9.0% 6.9% 6.4% 4.1%
Taylor Gavula 9.3% 10.1% 7.9% 10.2% 10.0% 8.6% 6.8% 8.8% 8.4% 7.2% 5.8% 3.4% 2.0% 1.5%
Julia Fuller 3.3% 2.1% 3.7% 2.4% 3.8% 3.2% 3.8% 4.5% 5.8% 6.3% 7.6% 12.1% 17.6% 23.8%
Caroline Downey 4.8% 4.3% 4.4% 5.1% 5.3% 6.0% 7.1% 8.2% 8.3% 9.8% 10.3% 11.5% 8.8% 6.1%
Mary Paz 6.4% 5.4% 7.0% 9.3% 8.6% 6.7% 9.3% 7.3% 8.4% 9.8% 8.5% 6.4% 4.8% 2.1%
Sarah Hermus 16.3% 15.6% 13.9% 11.4% 10.5% 8.5% 7.8% 5.3% 3.6% 3.9% 1.7% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Greta Farrell 4.1% 6.0% 5.4% 6.8% 6.3% 7.1% 7.8% 9.1% 8.9% 8.2% 10.0% 7.5% 7.4% 5.4%
Hannah Steadman 14.2% 13.9% 12.7% 11.4% 11.2% 10.0% 7.4% 5.9% 4.5% 3.6% 2.5% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Gwynie Dunlevy 2.1% 2.3% 2.0% 2.4% 2.7% 4.8% 5.0% 5.1% 5.6% 5.7% 6.8% 13.0% 17.1% 25.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.