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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+4.11vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.02+6.20vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.86+5.89vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.18+0.85vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.58+1.79vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.65+0.48vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.34+3.22vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34-0.66vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-4.64vs Predicted
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102.44-2.84vs Predicted
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11Boston University1.60-1.16vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College1.27-1.32vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-5.19vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-6.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.2Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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8.89Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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4.85Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.79University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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6.48Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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10.22Tufts University1.340.0%1st Place
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7.34Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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4.36University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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7.162.440.1%1st Place
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9.84Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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10.68Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
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7.81Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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7.28U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 12.3% | 14.6% | 12.6% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Caroline Downey | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.8% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.5% | 10.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 13.1% | 14.9% | 13.2% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Julia Fuller | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 23.6% |
| Elise Gehling | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 17.4% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 13.9% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Mary Paz | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Emily Croteau | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 15.2% | 15.7% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 26.4% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.