Race 5A

regis-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Caroline Downey 4.4% 4.3% 5.3% 6.4% 6.4% 6.9% 6.4% 8.0% 8.2% 9.6% 9.5% 9.2% 8.9% 6.5%
Sarah Hermus 19.1% 14.8% 14.7% 12.0% 10.8% 9.2% 6.8% 4.8% 2.7% 1.9% 1.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.2%
Elise Gehling 6.2% 6.4% 7.4% 7.3% 5.9% 8.1% 8.3% 8.0% 7.6% 10.3% 8.2% 7.0% 6.5% 2.8%
Taylor Gavula 7.4% 8.6% 9.6% 8.1% 8.7% 9.0% 10.2% 7.8% 7.1% 7.3% 6.7% 4.9% 3.7% 0.9%
Lindsay Doyle 5.9% 9.0% 8.4% 9.1% 9.7% 7.5% 8.7% 7.3% 8.1% 7.7% 8.1% 5.0% 3.3% 2.2%
Greta Farrell 5.5% 5.1% 5.3% 5.9% 6.2% 7.2% 7.4% 9.7% 9.2% 8.2% 8.2% 8.8% 7.8% 5.5%
Hannah Steadman 15.1% 14.8% 13.9% 10.7% 10.9% 8.4% 8.1% 6.9% 4.9% 2.6% 1.9% 1.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Casey Klingler 12.2% 13.9% 10.8% 11.5% 10.6% 8.2% 8.2% 6.3% 6.0% 5.9% 3.4% 1.8% 1.0% 0.2%
Emily Croteau 4.0% 2.7% 2.4% 3.4% 4.0% 4.5% 3.5% 5.8% 8.2% 8.5% 10.3% 12.0% 13.9% 16.8%
Mary Paz 5.8% 6.6% 6.7% 8.0% 9.4% 7.8% 9.2% 8.0% 7.8% 8.3% 8.0% 7.1% 5.2% 2.1%
Julia Fuller 1.9% 2.5% 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 3.7% 4.2% 4.9% 7.3% 6.4% 8.5% 11.6% 15.8% 25.7%
Madelynn Widmeier 5.8% 6.0% 6.1% 7.0% 7.6% 9.5% 7.8% 9.6% 8.4% 8.8% 6.6% 8.2% 5.3% 3.3%
Janel DeCurtis 4.6% 3.8% 4.3% 4.9% 4.6% 5.8% 5.9% 7.2% 9.4% 8.6% 10.2% 10.1% 12.5% 8.1%
Gwynie Dunlevy 2.1% 1.5% 3.1% 3.0% 2.4% 4.2% 5.3% 5.7% 5.1% 5.9% 8.7% 12.0% 15.4% 25.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.