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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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12.44+5.96vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+2.62vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+3.37vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+1.23vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19+3.03vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.58+0.73vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34+0.10vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.02+0.38vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.37-4.60vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.34+0.56vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.27-0.28vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-3.06vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.66vs Predicted
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14Boston University1.60-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.962.440.1%1st Place
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4.62Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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6.37Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.23Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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8.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.0%1st Place
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6.73University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.1Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.38Boston College2.020.1%1st Place
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4.4University of Rhode Island3.370.2%1st Place
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10.56Tufts University1.340.0%1st Place
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10.72Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
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8.94Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Paz | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Hannah Steadman | 15.4% | 15.0% | 12.7% | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 11.0% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Greta Farrell | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Elise Gehling | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Caroline Downey | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 16.2% | 15.2% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Julia Fuller | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 25.5% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.7% | 14.9% | 28.1% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 12.7% | 8.9% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Emily Croteau | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 15.6% | 13.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.