Race 7A

regis-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Hannah Steadman 14.9% 14.6% 13.6% 10.3% 10.3% 10.2% 5.9% 6.3% 3.7% 4.1% 3.2% 2.1% 0.7% 0.1%
Elise Gehling 6.4% 8.0% 7.2% 6.6% 7.2% 7.0% 8.6% 9.6% 8.7% 8.4% 7.8% 6.9% 4.7% 2.9%
Janel DeCurtis 4.3% 3.7% 4.7% 5.1% 5.2% 5.7% 5.1% 5.0% 9.0% 8.5% 10.3% 12.1% 11.6% 9.7%
Greta Farrell 3.8% 6.1% 6.3% 5.7% 7.3% 7.1% 8.4% 7.8% 7.3% 9.9% 8.4% 9.2% 8.1% 4.6%
Lindsay Doyle 6.0% 7.9% 8.4% 9.9% 7.8% 8.4% 7.5% 9.3% 7.8% 8.1% 7.3% 5.7% 4.2% 1.7%
Mary Paz 7.4% 5.6% 7.3% 6.0% 8.4% 8.9% 8.9% 8.7% 6.4% 8.4% 8.1% 7.5% 5.3% 3.1%
Madelynn Widmeier 6.4% 7.3% 7.5% 6.1% 9.4% 7.4% 8.4% 8.9% 8.9% 8.3% 7.4% 5.2% 6.0% 2.8%
Gwynie Dunlevy 2.7% 2.0% 2.8% 2.9% 3.4% 3.8% 4.2% 4.4% 5.1% 6.1% 7.6% 10.6% 16.8% 27.6%
Sarah Hermus 18.0% 15.0% 12.0% 13.1% 11.4% 8.8% 7.1% 5.6% 3.6% 2.3% 1.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Casey Klingler 11.2% 12.0% 11.7% 12.1% 9.1% 9.8% 9.3% 7.9% 6.4% 4.0% 3.3% 1.3% 1.5% 0.4%
Taylor Gavula 9.0% 7.6% 8.1% 9.0% 8.4% 8.9% 8.9% 9.1% 8.7% 6.4% 6.0% 4.8% 3.6% 1.5%
Emily Croteau 3.2% 2.5% 2.6% 3.3% 3.8% 5.1% 5.7% 5.0% 8.7% 9.6% 9.7% 12.3% 12.0% 16.5%
Julia Fuller 2.5% 2.9% 2.5% 3.1% 3.4% 3.1% 4.2% 4.8% 6.4% 7.3% 8.8% 11.3% 15.4% 24.3%
Caroline Downey 4.2% 4.8% 5.3% 6.8% 4.9% 5.8% 7.8% 7.6% 9.3% 8.6% 10.6% 9.8% 9.8% 4.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.