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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+4.13vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.18+2.61vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.65+3.42vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.02+4.46vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37-0.58vs Predicted
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62.44+1.21vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.58-0.61vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34-0.70vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.60+0.81vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-2.04vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College1.27-0.30vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.86-3.03vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.34-2.63vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-6.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.13Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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4.61Brown University3.180.2%1st Place
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6.42Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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8.46Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
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4.42University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.212.440.1%1st Place
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6.39University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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7.3Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.81Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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10.7Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
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8.97Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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10.37Tufts University1.340.0%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 13.3% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Steadman | 15.6% | 13.5% | 13.6% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Caroline Downey | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 13.9% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 10.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Mary Paz | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 2.5% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% |
| Elise Gehling | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.1% |
| Emily Croteau | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 16.0% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 4.2% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 17.1% | 27.0% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% |
| Julia Fuller | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 16.0% | 23.6% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.