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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Taylor Gavula 7.3% 7.9% 8.6% 9.5% 8.8% 8.6% 7.6% 8.2% 8.4% 5.9% 6.9% 6.2% 4.2% 1.9%
MaryClaire Kiernan 10.3% 11.8% 10.2% 9.6% 9.1% 8.4% 9.3% 8.0% 7.4% 5.8% 3.7% 4.2% 1.6% 0.6%
Mary Paz 6.1% 6.7% 8.4% 6.5% 6.1% 7.2% 6.6% 7.9% 8.3% 8.5% 10.6% 8.1% 5.0% 4.0%
Casey Klingler 10.8% 10.8% 11.7% 11.9% 8.7% 8.4% 8.9% 7.6% 7.6% 4.9% 4.3% 2.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Emily Croteau 1.9% 2.1% 3.9% 2.8% 3.7% 4.7% 5.3% 5.5% 4.9% 8.7% 8.2% 12.1% 15.2% 21.0%
Sarah Hermus 14.5% 14.2% 13.2% 11.9% 10.2% 8.6% 6.8% 7.0% 4.6% 4.6% 1.8% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Elise Gehling 6.3% 7.6% 6.0% 6.9% 6.5% 6.5% 9.3% 7.8% 7.6% 8.6% 8.5% 7.7% 6.8% 3.9%
Janel DeCurtis 4.6% 3.5% 3.5% 4.4% 5.4% 4.8% 5.5% 6.2% 6.8% 8.0% 10.4% 9.8% 13.2% 13.9%
Lindsay Doyle 7.8% 6.2% 6.5% 6.8% 8.8% 9.0% 8.5% 8.3% 8.6% 8.9% 7.1% 7.0% 4.1% 2.4%
Greta Farrell 5.1% 4.6% 4.0% 5.2% 6.5% 7.3% 6.5% 8.5% 7.5% 9.2% 9.8% 10.0% 9.7% 6.1%
Hannah Steadman 14.1% 12.4% 11.3% 10.3% 11.3% 9.2% 7.0% 6.6% 5.7% 3.5% 4.1% 2.4% 1.9% 0.2%
Madelynn Widmeier 5.6% 5.1% 6.0% 6.8% 7.2% 7.3% 8.2% 8.9% 9.5% 7.4% 6.8% 8.0% 7.6% 5.6%
Gwynie Dunlevy 2.0% 2.4% 1.8% 2.2% 2.4% 4.1% 3.5% 3.7% 4.3% 7.0% 7.5% 9.9% 16.5% 32.7%
Caroline Downey 3.6% 4.7% 4.9% 5.2% 5.3% 5.9% 7.0% 5.8% 8.8% 9.0% 10.3% 10.7% 11.7% 7.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.