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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.65+5.67vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.91+3.73vs Predicted
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32.44+4.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+1.52vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.60+5.15vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37-1.24vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University2.34+0.49vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University1.86+1.23vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.58-1.94vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.19-1.64vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.18-5.85vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-4.23vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.27-2.06vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.02-5.32vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.67Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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5.73Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.482.440.1%1st Place
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5.52Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.15Boston University1.600.0%1st Place
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4.76University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.49Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.23Roger Williams University1.860.0%1st Place
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7.06University of Vermont2.580.1%1st Place
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8.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.190.1%1st Place
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5.15Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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7.77U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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10.94Connecticut College1.270.0%1st Place
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8.68Boston College2.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Gavula | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| MaryClaire Kiernan | 10.3% | 11.8% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Mary Paz | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 10.8% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Emily Croteau | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 21.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 14.5% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Janel DeCurtis | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 13.2% | 13.9% |
| Lindsay Doyle | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% |
| Greta Farrell | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.1% |
| Hannah Steadman | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% |
| Gwynie Dunlevy | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 16.5% | 32.7% |
| Caroline Downey | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 7.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.